{"id":1485,"date":"2026-07-08T14:08:05","date_gmt":"2026-07-08T14:08:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bloomridge.com\/commentaire-de-marche-deuxieme-trimestre-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-10-10T14:21:42","modified_gmt":"2026-10-10T14:21:42","slug":"commentaire-de-marche-deuxieme-trimestre-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloomridge.com\/fr\/commentaire-de-marche-deuxieme-trimestre-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Commentaire de march\u00e9 \u2014 Deuxi\u00e8me trimestre 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

Les march\u00e9s boursiers ont fortement progress\u00e9 au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre, le prix du p\u00e9trole brut ayant recul\u00e9 par rapport \u00e0 son sommet de mars. Le S&P 500 a progress\u00e9 de 14,9 %. Le S&P\/TSX a progress\u00e9 de 6,4 %. Le brut WTI a recul\u00e9 de 31 %.<\/p>\n

March\u00e9s<\/h2>\n

Les secteurs qui avaient progress\u00e9 au premier trimestre ont recul\u00e9 au deuxi\u00e8me. L’\u00e9nergie et l’or ont \u00e9t\u00e9 les positions les plus faibles du trimestre, l’or ayant recul\u00e9 de 12,7 %, son plus fort recul trimestriel en treize ans. Les titres technologiques se sont redress\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

Les actions europ\u00e9ennes ont atteint des niveaux records. Le STOXX Europe 600 et l’EURO STOXX 50 ont tous deux cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 le mois de juin \u00e0 leur plus haut niveau jamais enregistr\u00e9, et ont r\u00e9alis\u00e9 leur meilleur trimestre depuis 2020. Les march\u00e9s d\u00e9velopp\u00e9s hors Am\u00e9rique du Nord ont progress\u00e9 de 9,8 %.<\/p>\n

Les actions canadiennes ont progress\u00e9 malgr\u00e9 le recul du p\u00e9trole brut. La hausse provient de la plupart des secteurs, et non de l’\u00e9nergie seule.<\/p>\n

Taux<\/h2>\n

La R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a maintenu sa fourchette cible \u00e0 3,50 % \u2013 3,75 % en avril et en juin. La Banque du Canada a maintenu son taux cible du financement \u00e0 un jour \u00e0 2,25 %.<\/p>\n

Le rendement de l’obligation du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 10 ans a cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 \u00e0 4,44 %, en hausse de 14 points de base. Le rendement \u00e0 2 ans a cl\u00f4tur\u00e9 \u00e0 4,14 %. Le rendement canadien \u00e0 10 ans a recul\u00e9 de 8 points de base, \u00e0 3,38 %.<\/p>\n

Jusqu’\u00e0 ce trimestre, une obligation du Tr\u00e9sor \u00e0 deux ans offrait un rendement sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 celui d’une obligation \u00e0 dix ans. Cette configuration, appel\u00e9e inversion, indique que le march\u00e9 s’attend \u00e0 des taux plus bas \u00e0 l’avenir qu’ils ne le sont aujourd’hui. Au cours du trimestre, l’ordre habituel est revenu.<\/p>\n

\u00c9conomie<\/h2>\n

L’inflation a continu\u00e9 d’augmenter. L’IPC d’ensemble am\u00e9ricain a atteint 4,2 % en mai, son plus haut niveau de l’ann\u00e9e, avant de reculer \u00e0 3,5 % en juin. L’IPC d’ensemble canadien a atteint 3,2 % en mai et a recul\u00e9 \u00e0 2,8 % en juin.<\/p>\n

L’\u00e9conomie am\u00e9ricaine a progress\u00e9 \u00e0 un taux annualis\u00e9 de 2,2 %. L’\u00e9conomie canadienne a progress\u00e9 de 3,3 %. Le taux de ch\u00f4mage s’\u00e9tablissait \u00e0 4,2 % aux \u00c9tats-Unis et \u00e0 6,5 % au Canada.<\/p>\n

Les \u00e9carts de cr\u00e9dit am\u00e9ricains \u00e0 rendement \u00e9lev\u00e9 se sont resserr\u00e9s \u00e0 2,75 %, leur niveau le plus \u00e9troit de l’ann\u00e9e. Moody’s a abaiss\u00e9 la note de la France \u00e0 Aa3 en avril, et S&P a abaiss\u00e9 la note de la France \u00e0 A+ en mai.<\/p>\n

Un \u00e9cart de cr\u00e9dit est le suppl\u00e9ment qu’une entreprise paie pour emprunter par rapport \u00e0 un gouvernement. Il se resserre lorsque les pr\u00eateurs per\u00e7oivent un risque moindre de non-remboursement. Au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre, il \u00e9tait \u00e0 son niveau le plus \u00e9troit de l’ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/th>\nNiveau<\/th>\nTrimestre<\/th>\nDepuis le d\u00e9but de l’ann\u00e9e<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
S&P\/TSX<\/td>\n34 856<\/td>\n+6,4 %<\/td>\n+9,9 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
S&P 500<\/td>\n7 499<\/td>\n+14,9 %<\/td>\n+9,6 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MSCI EAFE<\/td>\n3 117<\/td>\n+9,8 %<\/td>\n+7,7 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
USD\/CAD<\/td>\n1,42<\/td>\n+2,2 %<\/td>\n+3,6 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EUR\/CAD<\/td>\n1,62<\/td>\n+0,9 %<\/td>\n+0,8 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
GBP\/CAD<\/td>\n1,88<\/td>\n+2,1 %<\/td>\n+2,1 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
P\u00e9trole (WTI)<\/td>\n69<\/td>\n\u221231,4 %<\/td>\n+21,8 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Or<\/td>\n4 073<\/td>\n\u221212,7 %<\/td>\n\u22126,0 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10 ans am\u00e9ricain<\/td>\n4,44 %<\/td>\n+14 pb<\/td>\n+28 pb<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
10 ans canadien<\/td>\n3,38 %<\/td>\n\u22128 pb<\/td>\n\u22124 pb<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Taux des fonds f\u00e9d\u00e9raux<\/td>\n3,50 \u2013 3,75 %<\/td>\ninchang\u00e9<\/td>\ninchang\u00e9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Banque du Canada<\/td>\n2,25 %<\/td>\ninchang\u00e9<\/td>\ninchang\u00e9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Rendements en prix. MSCI EAFE \u2014 march\u00e9s d\u00e9velopp\u00e9s d’Europe, d’Australasie et d’Extr\u00eame-Orient.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Les march\u00e9s boursiers ont fortement progress\u00e9 au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre, le prix du p\u00e9trole brut ayant recul\u00e9 par rapport \u00e0 son sommet de mars. Le S&P 500 a progress\u00e9 de 14,9 %. Le S&P\/TSX a progress\u00e9 de 6,4 %. Le brut WTI a recul\u00e9 de 31 %. March\u00e9s Les secteurs qui avaient progress\u00e9 au premier trimestre […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1310,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites-du-marche"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nCommentaire de march\u00e9 \u2014 Deuxi\u00e8me trimestre 2026 - Bloomridge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bilan du deuxi\u00e8me trimestre 2026 : rebond des march\u00e9s boursiers, recul du p\u00e9trole et de l\u2019or, \u00e9volution des taux, inflation et croissance.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomridge.com\/fr\/commentaire-de-marche-deuxieme-trimestre-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Commentaire de march\u00e9 \u2014 Deuxi\u00e8me trimestre 2026 - 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