{"id":1487,"date":"2026-10-09T14:14:51","date_gmt":"2026-10-09T14:14:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bloomridge.com\/commentaire-de-marche-troisieme-trimestre-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-10-10T14:19:56","modified_gmt":"2026-10-10T14:19:56","slug":"commentaire-de-marche-troisieme-trimestre-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bloomridge.com\/fr\/commentaire-de-marche-troisieme-trimestre-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Commentaire de march\u00e9 \u2014 Troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a relev\u00e9 ses taux d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eat en septembre, sa premi\u00e8re hausse depuis 2023. Les rendements obligataires gouvernementaux ont augment\u00e9 sur tous les grands march\u00e9s, et les rendements \u00e0 longue \u00e9ch\u00e9ance ont atteint des niveaux in\u00e9gal\u00e9s depuis des d\u00e9cennies. Les march\u00e9s boursiers ont progress\u00e9 modestement. Le S&amp;P 500 a progress\u00e9 de 2,0 %. Le S&amp;P\/TSX a progress\u00e9 de 1,1 %. Le brut WTI a augment\u00e9 de 30 %.<\/p>\n<h2>March\u00e9s<\/h2>\n<p>Les gains boursiers ont \u00e9t\u00e9 faibles par rapport au mouvement des taux d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eat. Le p\u00e9trole brut est revenu \u00e0 90 $ US sans produire la surperformance canadienne du premier trimestre. L&rsquo;or a progress\u00e9 de 2,8 % et est demeur\u00e9 sous son niveau du d\u00e9but de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e. Les march\u00e9s d\u00e9velopp\u00e9s hors Am\u00e9rique du Nord sont demeur\u00e9s inchang\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<h2>Taux<\/h2>\n<p>La R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a relev\u00e9 sa fourchette cible de 25 points de base le 16 septembre, \u00e0 3,75 % \u2013 4,00 %. La d\u00e9cision a \u00e9t\u00e9 unanime. Le communiqu\u00e9 indiquait que l&rsquo;inflation demeure \u00e9lev\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>Le rendement de l&rsquo;obligation du Tr\u00e9sor am\u00e9ricain \u00e0 10 ans est pass\u00e9 \u00e0 5,29 %, en hausse de 113 points de base depuis le d\u00e9but de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e. La hausse a \u00e9t\u00e9 internationale et concentr\u00e9e sur les longues \u00e9ch\u00e9ances. Le rendement allemand \u00e0 30 ans a atteint son plus haut niveau depuis 2011. Le rendement japonais \u00e0 10 ans a d\u00e9pass\u00e9 3,00 % pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 1996. Le rendement britannique \u00e0 30 ans a atteint 6 % pour la premi\u00e8re fois depuis 1998.<\/p>\n<p>Les d\u00e9tenteurs de titres de dette gouvernementale \u00e0 longue \u00e9ch\u00e9ance ont enregistr\u00e9 des pertes sur le trimestre. Le mouvement s&rsquo;est produit dans la dette gouvernementale plut\u00f4t que dans le cr\u00e9dit aux entreprises. Les \u00e9carts am\u00e9ricains \u00e0 rendement \u00e9lev\u00e9 se sont \u00e9largis \u00e0 3,12 %.<\/p>\n<p>La Banque du Canada a maintenu son taux cible du financement \u00e0 un jour \u00e0 2,25 % le 2 septembre, sa sixi\u00e8me d\u00e9cision cons\u00e9cutive de maintien.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00c9conomie<\/h2>\n<p>L&rsquo;IPC d&rsquo;ensemble am\u00e9ricain s&rsquo;\u00e9tablissait \u00e0 3,4 % en ao\u00fbt, et l&rsquo;IPC de base \u00e0 2,4 %. L&rsquo;IPC d&rsquo;ensemble canadien s&rsquo;\u00e9tablissait \u00e0 3,0 %, les mesures de l&rsquo;inflation fondamentale se situant pr\u00e8s de 2,0 %.<\/p>\n<p>Le taux de ch\u00f4mage s&rsquo;\u00e9tablissait \u00e0 4,2 % aux \u00c9tats-Unis, \u00e0 l&rsquo;int\u00e9rieur de la fourchette de 4,1 % \u00e0 4,3 % enregistr\u00e9e depuis mars.<\/p>\n<p>Les flux de p\u00e9trole brut transitant par le d\u00e9troit d&rsquo;Ormuz se sont r\u00e9tablis \u00e0 environ 80 % des volumes ant\u00e9rieurs \u00e0 la fermeture \u00e0 la fin de septembre. Le d\u00e9troit n&rsquo;a pas enti\u00e8rement rouvert.<\/p>\n<p>Fitch a abaiss\u00e9 la note de la France \u00e0 A+ en ao\u00fbt, compl\u00e9tant les abaissements des trois grandes agences au cours de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e.<\/p>\n<p>Les banques centrales r\u00e9agissent \u00e0 l&rsquo;inflation. L&rsquo;inflation r\u00e9agit aux prix de l&rsquo;\u00e9nergie, avec un d\u00e9calage de plusieurs mois. Une route maritime ferm\u00e9e en f\u00e9vrier a donc atteint une d\u00e9cision de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale en septembre.<\/p>\n<table class=\"table\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th><\/th>\n<th>Niveau<\/th>\n<th>Trimestre<\/th>\n<th>Depuis le d\u00e9but de l&rsquo;ann\u00e9e<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>S&amp;P\/TSX<\/td>\n<td>35 236<\/td>\n<td>+1,1 %<\/td>\n<td>+11,1 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>S&amp;P 500<\/td>\n<td>7 652<\/td>\n<td>+2,0 %<\/td>\n<td>+11,8 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>MSCI EAFE<\/td>\n<td>3 126<\/td>\n<td>+0,3 %<\/td>\n<td>+8,1 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>USD\/CAD<\/td>\n<td>1,42<\/td>\n<td>+0,3 %<\/td>\n<td>+3,9 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>EUR\/CAD<\/td>\n<td>1,61<\/td>\n<td>\u22120,8 %<\/td>\n<td>0,0 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>GBP\/CAD<\/td>\n<td>1,88<\/td>\n<td>\u22120,3 %<\/td>\n<td>+1,8 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>P\u00e9trole (WTI)<\/td>\n<td>90<\/td>\n<td>+30,5 %<\/td>\n<td>+58,9 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Or<\/td>\n<td>4 187<\/td>\n<td>+2,8 %<\/td>\n<td>\u22123,4 %<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10 ans am\u00e9ricain<\/td>\n<td>5,29 %<\/td>\n<td>+85 pb<\/td>\n<td>+113 pb<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>10 ans canadien<\/td>\n<td>3,99 %<\/td>\n<td>+61 pb<\/td>\n<td>+57 pb<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Taux des fonds f\u00e9d\u00e9raux<\/td>\n<td>3,75 \u2013 4,00 %<\/td>\n<td>+25 pb<\/td>\n<td>+25 pb<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Banque du Canada<\/td>\n<td>2,25 %<\/td>\n<td>inchang\u00e9<\/td>\n<td>inchang\u00e9<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p><em>Rendements en prix. MSCI EAFE \u2014 march\u00e9s d\u00e9velopp\u00e9s d&rsquo;Europe, d&rsquo;Australasie et d&rsquo;Extr\u00eame-Orient.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a relev\u00e9 ses taux d&rsquo;int\u00e9r\u00eat en septembre, sa premi\u00e8re hausse depuis 2023. Les rendements obligataires gouvernementaux ont augment\u00e9 sur tous les grands march\u00e9s, et les rendements \u00e0 longue \u00e9ch\u00e9ance ont atteint des niveaux in\u00e9gal\u00e9s depuis des d\u00e9cennies. Les march\u00e9s boursiers ont progress\u00e9 modestement. Le S&amp;P 500 a progress\u00e9 de 2,0 %. Le [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1320,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[38],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualites-du-marche"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Commentaire de march\u00e9 \u2014 Troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2026 - Bloomridge<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bilan du troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2026 : hausse des taux de la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale, rendements obligataires, march\u00e9s boursiers, p\u00e9trole et inflation.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomridge.com\/fr\/commentaire-de-marche-troisieme-trimestre-2026\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Commentaire de march\u00e9 \u2014 Troisi\u00e8me trimestre 2026 - 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